000 01871cam a22003734i 4500
008 181114s2019 nyua i 001 0 eng d
020 _a9780190938024
_qhardback
_cRM185.00(PTSL)
040 _aDLC
_beng
_cDLC
_erda
_dDLC
_dUKM
_erda
042 _apcc
043 _an-us---
090 _aJZ1253
_b.F735
100 1 _aFriedman, Jeffrey A.
_q(Jeffrey Allan),
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aWar and chance :
_bassessing uncertainty in international politics /
_cJeffrey A. Friedman.
264 1 _aNew York :
_bOxford University Press,
_c2019.
264 4 _c©2019.
300 _ax, 228 pages :
_billustrations;
_c24 cm.
336 _atext
_2rdacontent
337 _aunmediated
_2rdamedia
338 _avolume
_2rdacarrier
505 0 _aIntroduction:'One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities' -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.
650 0 _aInternational relations
_xDecision making.
650 0 _aNational security
_xDecision making.
650 0 _aUncertainty
_xPolitical aspects.
650 0 _aUncertainty
_xPolitical aspects
_zUnited States.
651 0 _aUnited States
_xNational security
_xDecision making.
651 0 _aUnited States
_xForeign relations
_xDecision making.
907 _a.b16916244
_b2022-12-13
_c2022-04-06
942 _c01
_n0
_kJZ1253 .F735
949 _o101026379
990 _anma
991 _aFakulti Sains Sosial dan Kemanusiaan
998 _at
_b2022-04-06
_cm
_da
_feng
_gnyu
_y0
_z.b16916244
999 _c658711
_d658711