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| 005 | 20250919090117.0 | ||
| 006 | m|||||o||d|||||||| | ||
| 007 | cr|||||||||||| | ||
| 008 | 170308s2014||||enk o ||1 0|eng|d | ||
| 020 | _a9781139963329 (ebook) | ||
| 020 | _z9781107081598 (hardback) | ||
| 020 | _z9781107441613 (paperback) | ||
| 035 | _a(UkCbUP)CR9781139963329 | ||
| 039 | 9 |
_y03-08-2017 _zhafiz |
|
| 040 |
_aUkCbUP _beng _erda _cUkCbUP |
||
| 050 | 0 | 0 |
_aHB141 _b.F69 2014 |
| 082 | 0 | 0 |
_a330.01/12 _223 |
| 100 | 1 |
_aFranses, Philip Hans, _eauthor. |
|
| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aExpert Adjustments of Model Forecasts : _bTheory, Practice and Strategies for Improvement / _cPhilip Hans Franses. |
| 264 | 1 |
_aCambridge : _bCambridge University Press, _c2014. |
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| 300 |
_a1 online resource (144 pages) : _bdigital, PDF file(s). |
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| 336 |
_atext _btxt _2rdacontent |
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| 337 |
_acomputer _bc _2rdamedia |
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| 338 |
_aonline resource _bcr _2rdacarrier |
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| 500 | _aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 07 Mar 2017). | ||
| 520 | _aTo what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition? In this book, Philip Hans Franses, one of Europe's leading econometricians, presents the notion that many publicly available forecasts have experienced an'expert's touch', and questions whether this type of intervention is useful and if a lighter adjustment would be more beneficial. Covering an extensive research area, this accessible book brings together current theoretical insights and new empirical results to examine expert adjustment from an econometric perspective. The author's analysis is based on a range of real forecasts and the datasets upon which the forecasters relied. The various motivations behind experts' modifications are considered, and guidelines for creating more useful and reliable adjusted forecasts are suggested. This book will appeal to academics and practitioners with an interest in forecasting methodology. | ||
| 650 | 0 | _aEconometric models. | |
| 650 | 0 | _aEconomic forecasting. | |
| 650 | 0 | _aBusiness forecasting. | |
| 650 | 0 |
_aBUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Econometrics. _2bisacsh |
|
| 776 | 0 | 8 |
_iPrint version: _z9781107081598 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | _uhttps://eresourcesptsl.ukm.remotexs.co/user/login?url=https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139963329 |
| 907 |
_a.b1644131x _b2022-10-14 _c2019-11-12 |
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| 942 | _n0 | ||
| 914 | _avtls003618407 | ||
| 998 |
_anone _b2017-08-03 _cm _da _feng _genk _y0 _z.b1644131x |
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| 999 |
_c617347 _d617347 |
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