000			04345nam a22003258a 4500
005			20250930133120.0
008			120321s2011 nyu b 001 0 eng
020			_a9781444336511 (hbk.)
020			_a9781444336528 (pbk.) _cRM128.64
039		9	_a201207101349 _brosli _c201207050941 _dmazarita _c201203211420 _dlatihan _y03-21-2012 _zlatihan
040			_dUKM
090			_aQA279.4.G535
090			_aQA279.4 _b.G535
100	1		_aGilboa, Itzhak
245	1	0	_aMaking better decisions : _bdecision theory in practice / _cItzhak Gilboa.
260			_aNew York : _bWiley-Blackwell, _c2011.
300			_aix, 219 p. ; 23 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505	8		_aMachine generated contents note: Chapter 1 Background. -- Suggested Reading. -- Chapter 2 Judgment and Choice Biases. -- Introduction. -- Problems - Group A. -- Problems - Group B. -- Framing Effects. -- Brainstorming and Formal Models. -- Endowment Effect. -- Sunk Costs. -- Decision Trees. -- Representativeness Heuristic. -- Availability Heuristic. -- Anchoring. -- Mental Accounting. -- Dynamic Inconsistency. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 3 Consuming Statistical Data. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- Conditional Probabilities. -- Gambler's Fallacy. -- Biased Samples. -- Regression to the Mean. -- Correlation and Causation. -- Statistical Significance. -- Bayesian and Classical Statistics. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 4 Decisions under Risk. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- The Independence Axiom. -- von-Neumann and Morgenstern's Result. -- Measurement of Utility. -- Risk Aversion. -- Prospect Theory. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 5 Decisions under Uncertainty. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- Subjective Probability. -- Learning from the fact we know. -- Causality. -- The Sure Thing Principle. -- Alternative Models. -- Objective Probabilities. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 6 Well-Being and Happiness. -- Introduction. -- Problems - Group A. -- Problems - Group B. -- Well Being. -- Measurement Issues. -- What's Happiness? -- Exercises. -- Chapter 7 Appendix A: Optimal Choice. -- Chapter 8 Appendix B: Probability and Statistics. -- Solutions.
520			_a'Making Better Decisions introduces readers to some of the principal aspects of decision theory, and examines how these might lead us to make better decisions.[bullet] Introduces readers to key aspects of decision theory and examines how they might help us make better decisions[bullet] Presentation of material encourages readers to imagine a situation and make a decision or a judgment[bullet] Offers a broad coverage of the subject including major insights from several sub-disciplines: microeconomic theory, decision theory, game theory, social choice, statistics, psychology, and philosophy[bullet] Explains these insights informally in a language that has minimal mathematical notation or jargon, even when describing and interpreting mathematical theorems[bullet] Critically assesses the theory presented within the text, as well as some of its critiques[bullet] Includes a web resource for teachers and students'-- _cProvided by publisher.
520			_a'Making Better Decisions: Decision Theory in Practice introduces readers to some of the principal ideas from decision theory and examines how they might help us make better decisions. The presentation is designed to appeal to students and the general reader; based on problems, readers are encouraged to imagine a situation, and then make a decision or a judgment. The problems are chosen to exemplify some principles developed in decision theory, as well as violations of these principles derived from the psychological literature. Making Better Decisions offers explanations of both the theories we would like to adopt in order to make better decisions, and the theories that explain how those around us behave. In doing so, the book presents crucial insights into the decision-making process that can influence and change our behavior and our ability to interact with those around us'-- _cProvided by publisher.
650		0	_aDecision making. _959541
907			_a.b15282880 _b2021-05-28 _c2019-11-12
942			_c01 _n0 _kQA279.4.G535
914			_avtls003492078
990			_ark4
991			_aFakulti Sains Sosial dan Kemanusiaan
998			_at _b2012-08-03 _cm _da _feng _gnyu _y0 _z.b15282880
999			_c512182 _d512182