Managing strategic surprise : lessons from risk management and risk assessment /
spine title : Managing strategic surprise.
edited by Paul Bracken [and two others].
- xvii, 318 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
How to build a warning system / Paul Bracken -- Intelligence management as risk management : the case of surprise attack / Uzi Arad -- Nuclear proliferation epidemiology : uncertainty, surprise, and risk management / Lewis A. Dunn -- Precaution against terrorism / Jessica Stern and Jonathan B. Wiener -- Defense planning and risk management in the presence of deep uncertainty / Paul K. Davis -- Managing energy security risks in a changing world / Coby van der Linde -- What markets miss : political stability frameworks and country risk / Preston Keat -- The risk of failed-state contagion / Jeffrey Herbst -- Conclusion : managing strategic surprise / Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon.