War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics /
Friedman, Jeffrey A.
War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics / Jeffrey A. Friedman. - x, 228 pages : illustrations; 24 cm.
Introduction:'One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities' -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.
9780190938024 RM185.00(PTSL)
International relations--Decision making.
National security--Decision making.
Uncertainty--Political aspects.
Uncertainty--Political aspects--United States.
United States--National security--Decision making.
United States--Foreign relations--Decision making.
War and chance : assessing uncertainty in international politics / Jeffrey A. Friedman. - x, 228 pages : illustrations; 24 cm.
Introduction:'One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities' -- Pathologies of probability assessment -- Subjective probability and international politics -- The value of precision in probability assessment -- Dispelling illusions of rigor -- The politics of uncertainty and blame -- Analysis and decision -- Practical implications and directions for further research.
9780190938024 RM185.00(PTSL)
International relations--Decision making.
National security--Decision making.
Uncertainty--Political aspects.
Uncertainty--Political aspects--United States.
United States--National security--Decision making.
United States--Foreign relations--Decision making.